Stable Deterrence and Its Limits

Stable Deterrence and Its Limits

HERE WAS A HAPPY TIME, not too long ago, when the major dialogue on national arms policy was between the armers and the disarmers. -~The issue, at least in much of the public’s mind, was whether the nation ought to pursue a policy of negotiated comprehensive disarmament or one of national preparedness. There were those who believed that all arms races must eventuate in war, and those who believ...

Bayesian Juries and The Limits to Deterrence

We consider a model of crime with rational Bayesian Jurors. We find that if jurors are not perfectly informed, even when there is no limit to the size of the punishment that can be imposed, it is not possible to deter all crime. There is a finite lower bound on the crime rate which results from the difficulties in achieving a conviction with imperfect evidence and very low crime rates. Crime ca...

deterrence and its necessities

understanding future evolutions is a necessity for governance in this developing world. in military affairs, deterrence, elaborated in this part, is a way of countering probable future conflicts

Limits of Stable Pairs

Let (X0, B0) be the canonical limit of a one-parameter family of stable pairs, provided by the log Minimal Model Program. We prove that X0 is S2 and that ⌊B0⌋ is S1, as an application of a general local statement: if (X,B+ ǫD) is log canonical and D is Q-Cartier then D is S2 and ⌊B⌋ ∩D is S1, i.e. has no embedded components. When B has coefficients < 1, examples due to Hacking and Hassett show ...

Prediction and its limits.